何日再唱东方红

扶摇直上

Blink:

扶摇直上:
建议短线卖出。

好建議！有同感。謝謝扶搖直上！

想不到中国与美国同步。呵呵！

Blink

扶摇直上:
建议短线卖出。

好建議！有同感。謝謝扶搖直上！

Blink

Blink:

扶摇直上:
建议短线卖出。

好建議！有同感。謝謝扶搖直上！

想不到中国与美国同步。呵呵！

哈哈，何止同步，有時還互相牽制，牽一發而動全身。

focus

I have been following all the horizons ETFs,,, and i think that i have Missed 2 opportunities... with not buying the gold bull ETF and with HOD..

Investing in stocks doesn't have much fun because there is no volatility..

oil is bound to move up but i think not until Sept...this is when hurricane season really starts... 1/3 of the all U.S. oil comes from the gulf region and when there is a hurricane they shut everything down for 3-4days...... they don't want another BP to happen...

HOU closed 6.15... should you buy some...a hurricane in will move it higher.

［此帖子已被 focus 在 2010-8-18 12:56:10 编辑过］

focus

HOU is dropping... because oil is falling. here is a chart... oil could drop to 72 dollars which i think it might be a good entry point.... because of the weather... travelling season is over when school is back , the demand will be slow for the month of Sept. Just hope a hurricane comes in to push up the price...

［此帖子已被 focus 在 2010-8-19 6:52:29 编辑过］

Blink

FW:美国股市再次暴跌的十个迹象

The Wall Street Journal刊登的评论文章说，这个星期股市的表现不好，很多人怀疑华尔街会不会再次暴跌，评论人士说投资者不妨关注以下十个迹象：

1. 股价已经太贵了。根据耶鲁大学经济学教授Robert Shiller的研究，现在美国股价平均是未来业绩的20倍。这已经比以往高，正常情况下应该是16倍。对于投资者来讲价值是最重要的，如果你买的股票物有所值，那么承担高风险是值得的，否则为什么要买进呢？


2. 联邦储备表现紧张。这个星期联邦储备终于承认说美国经济发展开始减弱，为了对抗通货紧缩，联邦储备拿出了最后一个武器：卖出按揭买进政府债券。这个方法长期来讲会使利率下降，对于还按揭的人这是件好事，但是对于股市就不是好事。

3.认为股市会升的人太多。根据National Association of Active InvestmentManagers的统计，多数投资经理认为股市会升。另外很多投资顾问也是这样认为。这是值得投资者小心的一种迹象，当人人都乐观的时候往往应该是退出股市的时候。

4.通货紧缩已经存在了。消费价格连续三个月下降，而且已经影响到了人们的薪水。根据劳工部上个季度的统计，美国工人的小时工作比一年前降低了0.7%。难怪联邦储备现在紧张了，通货紧缩会导致人们薪水降低，企业收入减少，房价降低，投资也会缩水。与此同时债务却不会减少。这是一个非常可怕的恶性循环。

5. 人们欠债太多。无论普通家庭，企业，州政府，以及联邦政府，都欠大量的债务。美国现在的债务量是10年前的一倍。

6，就业市场比政府公布的数字还有差。官方的数字说美国失业率是9.5%，但是仔细看一下，现在美国20岁以上的成年人口中其实只有61%有工作。这是自80年代来最差的。如果只算男性的话，这个数字是66.9%，而在50年代时是85%。现在很多年龄大的人只能找到part-time工作，20岁以上的人真正有全职工作的只有59%，你能说这样的就业市场是好么？

7. 房地产市场仍然一团糟。上个月美国的法拍屋又增加了。根据统计，七月份银行收回93000间房子。比六月份升了9%。RealtyTrac说今年全年美国会有100万间法拍屋，这只能使房价更低。

8. 劳动节就要到了。根据历史统计，每年的九月股市表现最差。

9. 华盛顿不能正常运作。中期选举就要到了，预期主党在两院都会失去一些席位。在今天这样的社会局势中，美国需要强有力的领导人，但是至今没有出现。

10. 所有经济数字都不好。ISM显示美国制造业在七月减弱了，ISM新订单数字也在恶化。贸易差额增大，第二季度美国国民生产总值比第一季度差。欧洲六月的工业产出比预期要差，就连中国的经济发展都减缓了。

所以，投资者现在应该小心行事。

focus

Thanks Blink.

Blink

focus:



HOU is dropping... because oil is falling. here is a chart... oil could drop to 72 dollars which i think it might be a good entry point.... because of the weather... travelling season is over when school is back , the demand will be slow for the month of Sept. Just hope a hurricane comes in to push up the price...

［此帖子已被 focus 在 2010-8-19 6:52:29 编辑过］

Blink's愚見，最佳買進HOU的時間是OIL价在$68以下，而上圖所示$75就過高，Blink就不會考慮了。祝好運\！

Blink

focus:

I have been following all the horizons ETFs,,, and i think that i have Missed 2 opportunities... with not buying the gold bull ETF and with HOD..

Investing in stocks doesn't have much fun because there is no volatility..

oil is bound to move up but i think not until Sept...this is when hurricane season really starts... 1/3 of the all U.S. oil comes from the gulf region and when there is a hurricane they shut everything down for 3-4days...... they don't want another BP to happen...

HOU closed 6.15... should you buy some...a hurricane in will move it higher.

［此帖子已被 focus 在 2010-8-18 12:56:10 编辑过］

Focus,
Blink有跟進，Hourizons類股上落很大，較适合短線投資。只要有彈藥，机會有的是，切不要因冇買進而感可惜。

focus

It is extremely hard to make a couple of dollars from stock market these days.
Yes. I bought some today. However, it is down since. A hurricane will help.